Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.073964 0.085874 0.098904 0.114190 0.131609 0.150811 0.173555
2025-01-19 0.054286 0.069603 0.087887 0.111217 0.140083 0.174508 0.218541
2025-01-26 0.044608 0.062360 0.085206 0.116518 0.158033 0.210868 0.282828
2025-02-02 0.037515 0.056660 0.082998 0.121429 0.175523 0.248299 0.352822
2025-02-09 0.029701 0.048264 0.075456 0.117508 0.180042 0.268533 0.401852
2025-02-16 0.024529 0.042619 0.070670 0.116379 0.187755 0.293355 0.459240
2025-02-23 0.020097 0.037218 0.065234 0.113179 0.191524 0.312281 0.509362
2025-03-02 0.016753 0.032948 0.060823 0.110750 0.195815 0.331935 0.561927
2025-03-09 0.014635 0.030414 0.058850 0.111923 0.205800 0.361114 0.631712
2025-03-16 0.012260 0.026945 0.054662 0.108565 0.207522 0.376710 0.680479
2025-03-23 0.011334 0.026127 0.055173 0.113656 0.224423 0.419059 0.777347
2025-03-30 0.010068 0.024375 0.053617 0.114604 0.233797 0.449060 0.855290
2025-04-06 0.008562 0.021863 0.050252 0.111736 0.235985 0.466991 0.914500
2025-04-13 0.007405 0.019909 0.047739 0.110231 0.240603 0.489748 0.984456
2025-04-20 0.006990 0.019633 0.048780 0.116239 0.260749 0.543263 1.115758
2025-04-27 0.006554 0.019223 0.049457 0.121533 0.279960 0.596575 1.250884
2025-05-04 0.005593 0.017259 0.046255 0.117803 0.279827 0.611958 1.313966
2025-05-11 0.004924 0.015936 0.044360 0.116767 0.285302 0.638900 1.401795
2025-05-18 0.004238 0.014414 0.041723 0.113606 0.285674 0.655308 1.469558
2025-05-25 0.003683 0.013147 0.039527 0.111192 0.287413 0.674604 1.544571
2025-06-01 0.003349 0.012483 0.038816 0.112381 0.297604 0.712694 1.661598
2025-06-08 0.002885 0.011293 0.036465 0.109016 0.296547 0.726093 1.726917
2025-06-15 0.002764 0.011223 0.037276 0.114130 0.316690 0.788209 1.902335